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	<title>Islamic State &#8211; Roumazeilles.net</title>
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		<title>What if ISIS did not disappear?</title>
		<link>https://www.roumazeilles.net/news/en/wordpress/2015/07/23/what-if-isis-did-not-disappear/</link>
					<comments>https://www.roumazeilles.net/news/en/wordpress/2015/07/23/what-if-isis-did-not-disappear/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yves Roumazeilles]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Jul 2015 18:58:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islamic State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.roumazeilles.net/news/en/wordpress/?p=13801</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This is the rather terrible but also very troubling question asked by Stephen M. Walt on Foreign Policy in a paper titled &#8220;What Should We Do if the Islamic State Wins?&#8221; The author does no really answer the question he asks but I find it mind-opening to start from his postulate: Daesh is not automatically [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is the rather terrible but also very troubling question asked by Stephen M. Walt on Foreign Policy in a paper titled &#8220;<a href="http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/06/10/what-should-we-do-if-isis-islamic-state-wins-containment/">What Should We Do if the Islamic State Wins?</a>&#8221;</p>
<p>The author does no really answer the question he asks but I find it mind-opening to start from his postulate: Daesh is not automatically going to disappear because we want it to (or because this is a monstruous group). It may take much more than that to avoid the group which proclaims itself &#8220;Islamic State&#8221; or &#8220;Califate&#8221; really becoming an islamic state, stable and well poised between Irak and Syria, which may be what it is doing despite international efforts.</p>
<p>As Stephen M. Walt, I absolutely do not like this perpsective, but we&#8217;d better start exrecising our intellect on the worst hypothesis in front of us. And I hope that some other authors will be able to bring some fairly good/intersting (or even mind-blowing) answers.</p>
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		<title>All about ISIS</title>
		<link>https://www.roumazeilles.net/news/en/wordpress/2015/05/24/all-about-isis/</link>
					<comments>https://www.roumazeilles.net/news/en/wordpress/2015/05/24/all-about-isis/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Yves Roumazeilles]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 May 2015 13:07:48 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islamic State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.roumazeilles.net/news/en/wordpress/?p=13792</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[It is always easy to portray Islamic State as a bloodthirsty monster and&#8230; to stop here. This kind of attitude presents two majors drawbacks (to my eyes): As all black-and-white approaches, it does not allow understanding,it does not allow determining where Daesh or ISIS is coming. It&#8217;s happy with just condemning, preferably in reference to [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is always easy to portray Islamic State as a bloodthirsty monster and&#8230; to stop here. This kind of attitude presents two majors drawbacks (to my eyes):</p>
<ol>
<li>As all black-and-white approaches, it does not allow understanding,it does not allow determining where Daesh or ISIS is coming. It&#8217;s happy with just condemning, preferably in reference to the bloody demonstrations (which are a key part of their own propaganda, which we fall for).</li>
<li>Worst, without understanding what ISIS really is, there is little hope to stop them, to contain them or to reduce them.</li>
</ol>
<p>With this in view, I found two remarkable articles which try and bring some light on this very complex issue. One tries to determine the operating modes of ISIS (a sectarian organisation, but not an arbitrary lack of logic; A rigid organisation directed by rules extracted from the Kuran) in order to define pragmatic orientations to oppose the Islamic State with some efficiency (and which gives explanations on why some strategies are/were so blatanlty inefficient). Written by Graeme Wood, published in The Atlantic, <a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/features/archive/2015/02/what-isis-really-wants/384980/">What ISIS really wants</a> is a realtively long paper, but worth all your reading time.</p>
<p>The other looks more specifically into power structures of the organization. This is a barely understood side (even if newspapers sometimes speak about the Coalition efforts to eliminate some of ISIS leaders), and it is written by Adrian Lewis for BBC: <a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-32829096">Islamic State: How it is run</a>.</p>
<p>Each of these require your taking time and concentration to draw most of their contents, but I believe that they are useful for all who want to understand first, before building an opinion and before proposing an action plan.</p>
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